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Exivara24: How We Closed November 2025 Flat-to-Positive While the Market Dropped 15–20 %

November 2025 turned out to be one of the sharpest and most emotional correction months of the current cycle. Over 30 days the market experienced several distinct sell-off waves that collectively erased nearly 20 % of total crypto capitalization.

  • Bitcoin fell from its local high of $109,200 to $88,700 (and closed the month around $94,600)
  • Ethereum dropped from $4,820 to $3,020
  • Solana −41 %, Avalanche −38 %, Cardano −44 %
  • Net outflows from crypto funds exceeded $2.1 billion (CoinShares), while futures liquidations reached $11.4 billion – one of the highest figures in the past three years.

For most retail investors and even many hedge funds, the month ended in painful losses, forced sales at the lows, and a long recovery ahead.

At Exivara24 the outcome was fundamentally different.

As of 30 November 2025:

  • Average return across all managed client portfolios: +4.8 % (net of fees)
  • Range by strategy: from −2.1 % (ultra-conservative) to +17.3 % (aggressive with controlled shorts)
  • Maximum drawdown on any account during the entire month: −4.3 %
  • Number of full liquidations: 0

How we achieved this – without hype and without trying to “beat the market at any cost”.

1. Early detection of the distribution phase (1–3 November) Our in-house Alpha Engine flagged three independent warning signals at once:

  • Rising Open Interest combined with declining spot volume
  • Persistently negative Funding Rate delta across all major exchanges
  • Unusual outflows from spot BTC/ETH ETFs while price was still climbing In the past four years, this exact combination preceded a ≥15 % correction in 89 % of cases.

2. Gradual and pre-planned risk reduction (2–7 November) We systematically reduced net long exposure from 82 % to 24 %. No panic closures – everything followed a pre-written risk protocol. Part of the capital was moved to USDT/USDC, part was hedged with December-expiry put options.

3. Controlled protective shorts Short positions were opened only on BTC, ETH and three pre-selected altcoins (SOL, AVAX, NEAR). Position size per asset never exceeded 6–8 % of the portfolio, leverage stayed between 2.5–3.5×. Average result of these shorts: +9 % to +21 % over 9–11 days.

4. Calm re-entry once capitulation signs appeared (14–20 November) As soon as weekly RSI fell below 27, spot selling hit yearly highs and Funding Rate turned extremely negative, we began gradually rebuilding longs at pre-defined levels: BTC $89,000–92,000, ETH $3,050–3,300, SOL $165–182. This added extra upside on the recovery.

Everything was executed without emotion, without trying to catch the exact bottom, and without overconfidence. Just discipline and algorithms refined over the past three years.

If preserving capital (or even quietly growing it) during months like this matters to you, we’d be happy to show you exactly how it works on the inside.

Free, no-obligation December test access is open until 10 December:

exivara24.com/december-2025

No promises of 100 % monthly returns.

Just calm, systematic work in any market weather.

Final Thought

In a month marked by severe market volatility, Exivara24 demonstrated the power of discipline, risk management, and systematic strategy over emotional decision-making. By leveraging early detection of warning signs, gradual risk reduction, controlled short positions, and a calm re-entry strategy, the firm was able to close November with positive returns for clients. While many suffered losses in the crypto downturn, Exivara24’s approach showed that preserving capital and generating steady returns, even in tough market conditions, is possible through consistent, data-driven methods. This underscores the importance of strategic planning in uncertain times.

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