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The Cold-Start Problem: Proven Strategies for New Users and Items: An interview with Ivan Potapov

With AI-aided hyper-personalisation, the recommendation system began to become the engine of our digital experiences-from suggesting the next binge-worthy series to surfacing the perfect product. These systems guide our choices, shape our journeys online. But what happens when a user is new, or an item has just entered the scene? This is the infamous “cold-start problem,” a challenge that Ivan Potapov, a Staff ML Engineer, strives with day in and day out. Coming from years of experience building and scaling recommendation systems for millions of users, Ivan gives his thoughts on how to overcome this obstacle and build real-time learning systems.

 

  • Ivan, we’re interested in recommendation systems, especially when operating on a large scale. Can you shed some light on the major technical challenges of building this system to serve millions of users daily? From an expert’s perspective, what are some of the key considerations and strategies for creating a scalable, efficient recommendation system?

Of course! Designing a recommendation system that operates at scale requires addressing several technical challenges to ensure both efficiency and responsiveness. One of the foremost considerations is maintaining low-latency responses while processing an immense volume of real-time data. As users interact with the platform, the system must update and provide recommendations instantly, necessitating optimised data pipelines  and a robust infrastructure capable of handling large volumes of concurrent requests without delays.

Another key aspect is scalable data storage and retrieval. When managing vast amounts of interaction data, content metadata, and model predictions, the system must use distributed databases, in-memory caching, and sharded architectures to store and retrieve data efficiently, ensuring fast access and avoiding bottlenecks.

Model scalability  also plays a crucial role. Recommendation models need to handle large datasets, often comprising billions of data points. To tackle this, distributed training across multiple GPUs or TPUs  allows for rapid model updates. Additionally, ensuring that models are resource-efficient during inference is essential for maintaining real-time performance, especially at scale. Techniques such as model quantization and distillation are effective ways to reduce computational overhead while preserving model accuracy.

Another significant challenge is ensuring elastic scalability during traffic spikes. Recommendation systems must handle fluctuating traffic, such as during special events or peak times, without sacrificing performance. An elastic infrastructure that can dynamically allocate resources based on traffic loads is critical to prevent outages or slow response times.

Finally, the challenge of personalization at scale  is multifaceted. With millions of users, the system must offer individualised recommendations. This often involves a combination of user segmentation, real-time feature extraction, and contextual recommendations, balanced with system efficiency. Implementing a combination of  batch processing and real-time streaming  allows for effective personalisation while ensuring the system can handle the load.

By focusing on these key areas—latency, data storage, model scalability, elastic infrastructure, and personalisation—organisations can design recommendation systems that scale efficiently to meet the demands of millions of users.

 

  • Awesome! When designing a recommendation system for real-time, large-scale applications, what are some of the best practices for optimising model architectures to balance both speed and accuracy in predictions?

Optimising model architectures for large-scale, real-time recommendation systems requires careful balancing of speed, accuracy, and scalability. One of the most effective approaches is leveraging neural networks, which are well-suited for capturing complex relationships between user behaviour and item features. Neural networks provide the flexibility needed to model intricate patterns, but with vast amounts of training data, scalability becomes crucial. Using distributed training across multiple GPUs or TPUs  allows models to be trained in parallel, significantly speeding up the process while ensuring high accuracy.

A recommended strategy is to employ multi-task learning. By building multi-label models that predict multiple user actions (such as likes, shares, or saves) in one pass, you can not only capture correlations between different user behaviours but also optimise the inference time. Instead of running separate models for each action, a single model can generate predictions for various outcomes, leading to more efficient resource usage.

For systems that need to serve millions of users in real time, model compression  techniques like quantization are essential. Quantization reduces the size and computational complexity of the model without significantly impacting accuracy. This allows for fast, lightweight models that can respond quickly in real-world environments. Other methods such as pruning  (removing redundant parameters) and knowledge distillation  (transferring knowledge from a large model to a smaller one) can further compress models, enabling their deployment in low-latency environments or on edge devices without compromising performance.

By combining these techniques—distributed training, multi-task learning, and model compression—you can ensure that your recommendation system delivers both fast and accurate predictions at scale.

 

  • When dealing with the cold-start problem in recommendation systems, what are some effective strategies for making accurate recommendations for new users or items with little to no historical data?

The cold-start problem is a common challenge in recommendation systems, especially when trying to make recommendations for new users or items with little interaction history. One of the most effective ways to address this issue is by utilising demographic or contextual data. For new users, basic information such as age, location, or device type can provide initial insights that guide early recommendations. This allows the system to start with a reasonable guess before any user interaction takes place.

A powerful approach for handling the cold-start problem is incorporating multi-armed bandit algorithms. These algorithms help strike a balance between exploration and exploitation  by exploring different content types and learning about user preferences in a low-risk way. Over time, as more data becomes available, the system gradually transitions from exploratory strategies to more personalised, data-driven models like deep learning architectures.

For new items or content, content-based features can play a significant role. Techniques like Contrastive Language-Image Pretraining (CLIP) can be used to generate rich embeddings from the content itself—whether it’s text, images, or other metadata—giving the recommendation system a foundation to work from, even before user interactions accumulate. As users engage with this content, these embeddings can be updated in real time, allowing the system to refine recommendations based on live data.

A strategic way to ensure new items get exposure is by introducing reserved slots  for fresh content. This ensures that each new item gets a fair chance to collect interaction data, allowing the system to gauge how well it resonates with users. Combining this with exploration-based algorithms like Thompson sampling can help the system prioritise which new items to show more often based on early engagement metrics.

Overall, the key to managing cold-start situations is blending content-based filtering, exploration-driven algorithms, and real-time data updates to create a dynamic system that adapts quickly as more user or content data becomes available.

 

  • How can large-scale A/B testing be effectively managed when comparing different recommendation algorithms or machine learning models to ensure they perform well in real-world settings?

Managing large-scale A/B testing for recommendation systems or machine learning models requires a thoughtful and strategic approach to ensure that changes lead to real-world performance improvements without risking a negative impact on user experience. One of the most important aspects is to conduct extensive A/B testing on any system change, whether it’s a new algorithm, feature, or parameter adjustment. Testing these changes in a controlled environment helps to validate improvements before full-scale deployment.

To minimise the risks  of user experience degradation from potentially underperforming models, using variance reduction techniques can be highly effective. Methods such as stratified sampling—where you carefully select and group users based on similar characteristics—and CUPED (Controlled, Pre-experiment Data)—which uses historical data to control for pre-existing differences—allow you to run tests on a smaller portion of online traffic. This way, you reduce the required sample size for statistical significance while still gaining accurate insights. By limiting exposure to potentially suboptimal models, you safeguard the majority of users while still conducting rigorous testing.

Another critical factor is leveraging highly sensitive metrics that can capture even subtle shifts in user behaviour. These metrics are designed to detect small but important changes in performance between different models or recommendation systems. Having well-calibrated metrics ensures that even with smaller sample sizes, you’re able to make precise and reliable conclusions about a model’s performance.

In addition, iterating quickly and safely  is key to optimising your system. By combining these variance reduction strategies with advanced metrics, you can move rapidly through testing phases without sacrificing the integrity or reliability of your recommendation system. This approach ensures continuous improvements while maintaining a seamless user experience throughout the experimentation process.

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